Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.047597 0.055518 0.064223 0.074482 0.086222 0.099220 0.114681
2025-05-11 0.035414 0.045681 0.058007 0.073827 0.093515 0.117124 0.147489
2025-05-18 0.026687 0.037664 0.051920 0.071634 0.098000 0.131839 0.178308
2025-05-25 0.020834 0.031894 0.047303 0.070063 0.102485 0.146602 0.210670
2025-06-01 0.017128 0.028211 0.044655 0.070401 0.109152 0.164618 0.249121
2025-06-08 0.013832 0.024413 0.041065 0.068588 0.112164 0.177477 0.281383
2025-06-15 0.012342 0.023143 0.041035 0.072020 0.123245 0.203080 0.334798
2025-06-22 0.010524 0.020945 0.039096 0.071985 0.128665 0.220359 0.376959
2025-06-29 0.008772 0.018510 0.036324 0.070052 0.130549 0.231965 0.410945
2025-07-06 0.007484 0.016693 0.034333 0.069127 0.133891 0.246077 0.450094
2025-07-13 0.006964 0.016296 0.034896 0.072891 0.145875 0.275847 0.518247
2025-07-20 0.006374 0.015640 0.034842 0.075431 0.155815 0.302838 0.583765
2025-07-27 0.005410 0.014008 0.032625 0.073513 0.157290 0.315113 0.624836
2025-08-03 0.004698 0.012810 0.031125 0.072842 0.161101 0.332039 0.675966
2025-08-10 0.003983 0.011452 0.029056 0.070663 0.161585 0.342650 0.716143
2025-08-17 0.003420 0.010354 0.027390 0.069107 0.163127 0.355374 0.761380
2025-08-24 0.003049 0.009683 0.026615 0.069437 0.168692 0.376535 0.824866
2025-08-31 0.002618 0.008747 0.025032 0.067646 0.169349 0.387668 0.869038
2025-09-07 0.002488 0.008653 0.025569 0.071034 0.182064 0.425065 0.970079
2025-09-14 0.002220 0.008087 0.024773 0.070999 0.186828 0.445874 1.038011
2025-09-21 0.001915 0.007328 0.023328 0.069090 0.186910 0.456448 1.084917
2025-09-28 0.001686 0.006760 0.022317 0.068176 0.189285 0.472276 1.144413
2025-10-05 0.001628 0.006770 0.022983 0.071892 0.203589 0.516310 1.269532